The United States has issued a warning to Madagascar regarding its growing military alliance with Russia. Lt Gen John Brennan, the deputy head of US Africa Command, expressed concern about the potential replication of the "Sahel model" in Madagascar, which he believes could exacerbate instability across the African continent. This model refers to partnerships with military-led governments in West Africa, which, according to Brennan, have not contributed positively to security.
Madagascar's strategic location in the Indian Ocean, crucial for global trade, is a primary concern. Brennan warned against the proliferation of the Sahel model, stating that it could be detrimental to Madagascar and Mozambique, another important trade route location. He expressed apprehensions about the security situation in the Mozambique Channel, which separates these two countries from mainland Africa, emphasizing the need to prevent Islamist State-linked militants in northern Mozambique and other hostile actors from threatening maritime activities.
Brennan raised concerns over the continued militant attacks despite the Sahel countries' closer military ties with Russia. He also cautioned about potential risks associated with partnering with Russia, while acknowledging that nations are free to choose their partners. Madagascar has not officially responded to Brennan's comments, but President Michaël Randrianirina has recently expressed support for stronger ties between Russia and African countries. The president visited Moscow shortly after taking power in a military takeover, marking the first official visit by a Malagasy leader to Russia in nearly 50 years.
The BBC reports that Madagascar and Russia signed several cooperation agreements at the Russia-Africa summit last month, covering defense, tourism, and trade. This development comes amidst ongoing concerns about security and instability in Africa, particularly in light of increasing military ties between African countries and foreign powers.